January 23, 2017 04:19 AM

Skies will be cloudy today but it will be mainly dry for a while before some light rain and snow showers moving from the south toward the late afternoon. High temperatures will be in the lower 40s.

A complex storm system will move up the eastern seaboard tonight.  In advance of this system the wind will increase and become gusty at times over 40 mph over the higher terrain. Precipitation will become steady mainly in the form of snow and sleet with some freezing rain also possible across the higher terrain. In the valleys, snow and sleet will fall from I-90 north with a mix of rain snow and sleet to the south. Overnight lows will be near 32.

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Snowfall accumulations will be highly variable depending on precipitation type and intensity with the heaviest amounts likely across the Adirondacks and central Green Mountains. Light to moderate amounts of snow are likely tonight in the Greater Capital District depending on how much mixture with sleet and freezing rain occurs. We will continue to see a mixture of precipitation into tomorrow morning but this will gradually wind down as rain and snow showers during the afternoon with high temperatures in the upper 30s to around 40. Gradually it will turn cooler during the week with temperatures sliding back from the lower 40s Wednesday to the mid 30s Friday and finally below freezing for highs over the weekend. It will remain mostly cloudy and blustery with scattered snow showers.

- Timing (from south to north): Monday afternoon between 3 pm (Southern Catskills/Lower Hudson Valley) 7 pm (Capital District) - 10 pm (Saratoga Springs points north). Heaviest precipitation Monday night into Tuesday morning then it begins to taper off end end during Tuesday afternoon.

- Precipitation: Mostly a wet snow for Hilltowns, western Green county  and eastern Schoharie county and for the Southern Adirondacks. Snow may mix or change to sleet at times but these areas look to get the greatest accumulations. For the Upper Hudson Valley north of Saratoga Springs, wet snow will change to sleet, possibly mix with rain at times, some accumulations here but lighter. Elsewhere some light snow/sleet accumulations possible Monday night with storm's onset but should be minimal, still looks like a cold rain or rain sleet for Albany south and east for much of storm. PLEASE refer to snow map for details.

- Wind: Strong damaging wind gusts expected across higher elevations and in Mohawk Valley late Monday Morning through late Monday night. Gust 45-55 mph possible. Could cause tree limbs, trees to come down. May have sporadic power outages too.

Post storm conditions on Wednesday should be dry and partly cloudy with highs in the mid 40s.

Rest of the week blustery gradually turning colder with temperatures by next weekend more seasonable in the 30s by day and teens/low 20s at night. Also no big storms expected after the one to start our week.

Have a great day!

Paul Caiano


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