FIRST WARNING FORECAST
February 26, 2017 04:34 PM
Sunday's weather was what February should be like: blustery, cold with some passing flurries and snow showers. Sunday night will see the winds ease and become southerly late as the chilly high pressure system that moved over us slides to our east. This will set the stage for mild to warm air to move back in beginning on Monday.
Monday will start with sun but skies will cloud up as a warm front approaches. This front will cause some light spotty precipitation in the form of rain or wet snow Monday night into Tuesday morning, with occasional light rain or drizzle for Tuesday afternoon as temperatures rise into the upper 40s to 50° by late in the day.
By Wednesday the warm front will be to the north of the region while a strengthening storm will be moving from the nation's midsection toward the Upstate of NY. This storm will cause increasing south winds and warm air to flow back our way during the day. As the day wears on there will be an increasing chance for showery rains and by late in the day and night even a few thunderstorms are possible. Temperatures on Wednesday are expected to warm to near 60° once again. I'm forecasting a high of 62° for Albany. The record for March 1st is 61° set in 1991.
By early Thursday morning the intensifying storm system will be moving across northern New England and its associated strong cold front will slice across the area. Thursday's high temperature will likely be near 50° and that will happen before sunrise; once the front passes by temperatures will plummet, falling into the 30s by afternoon. In addition there is concern for very strong NW winds to develop across the region during Thursday morning and continue through the day into the early night. Possible sustained winds could be high and gusts could be higher, POSSIBLY in excess of 50 mph.
On Friday and Saturday expect cold weather with temperatures in the low and mid 30s for highs and there could be some light snow on Friday, too for folks along and south of I-90 as an weak area of low pressure scoots by to the south of Albany and off the coast.
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