Updated: November 01, 2021 10:38 AM
Created: November 01, 2021 10:23 AM
On Oct. 21, the Climate Prediction Center (a division of the National Weather Service) issued their annual winter outlook to help communities to prepare for the months ahead. For the second year in a row, La Nina climate conditions have emerged. Let us examine this with two talking points, temperature and precipitation
Regarding temperature, warmer than average temperatures are most likely across the Southern tier of the U.S., much of the Eastern U.S. with the greatest likelihood of above average temperatures in the Southeast. Below average temperatures are favored for southeast Alaska, the Pacific Northwest, and eastward to the northern Plains. The Upper Mississippi Valley and small areas of the Great Lakes have equal chances for below, near, or above average temperatures. This means for us that during the course of this winter, we will see warmer than average temperatures.
In regards to precipitation, the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies, Great Lakes, parts of the Ohio Valley, and western Alaska have the greatest chances for wetter than average conditions. Drier than average conditions are favored in south-central Alaska, southern California, the Southwest, and the Southeast. The forecast for the remainder of the U.S. shows equal chances for below, near, or above average precipitation during winter months. For our viewing area, we are right on the line of seeing average or above average conditions. Areas north and west of Albany look like they will have a better chance at being above average for the winter season.
NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center updates the three-month outlook each month. The next update will be available November 19.
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