What’s next for New York voters after Trump verdict? Local experts weigh in

Local political, legal experts weigh in on Trump verdict

We asked local political and legal experts.

In a little more than a month, former President Donald Trump will be sentenced in a New York courtroom—a date with little precedent in American history.

Local attorney Paul DerOhannesian said Thursday that Trump faced a legal process starting before sentencing—in a meeting with probation.

“There’s going to be an extensive interview,” he said. “And this is going to be a challenge for someone like Donald Trump to have to talk about his personal life, whether it’s growing up, his mental health history, physical history, all this gets documented by probation.”

He said all information Trump gives will be under scrutiny for its truthfulness.

“Because we know that this judge came very close to saying, you’re going to jail for violating an order relating to speaking publicly about the case. How will the judge respond if he feels Donald J. Trump is not being open and honest or obstructing the pre-sentence process?”

Associate Professor of Political Science Ron Seyb of Skidmore College said the verdict could well affect the election in New York.

“I think it definitely is a galvanizing factor when you think about turnout,” Seyb said.

A recent poll by ABC News and Ipsos suggested 16% of Trump supporters would reconsider their support after a conviction. But other research from Marist College suggested a conviction would not change minds and may push republicans closer toward Trump.

“Which I think plays into the narrative that people like Elise Stefanik have been describing or been rolling out, that this is the consequence of a weaponized judicial system, a partisan district attorney,” Seyb said.  

One side effect on New York elections is the potential for three congressional seats to flip based on those candidates’ statements about the conviction.

“How is Marcus Molinaro going to deal with this? How is Pat Ryan going to deal with this? How is Tom Suozzi going to deal with this? Because they will be asked questions about it, whether they believe, for example, that the judicial system has been weaponized,” he said.

Trump is set to be sentenced on July 11.