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FIRST WARNING FORECAST

Our weekend will end on a relatively quiet note with mild and cloudy weather for Sunday. The clouds will be associated with a developing storm system moving our way from the southern U.S. This complex storm system is expected to move slowly our way Monday into Tuesday. It will redevelop off the East Coast Monday night, then track northeast across eastern New England during early Tuesday.

What we do know at the moment regarding this system is the following:

1) It will be a long duration event: look for the precipitation to start late Monday morning and not taper off until late Tuesday afternoon.

2) There is NOT a lot of cold air around BUT higher elevations, especially across the Southern Adirondacks could stay cold enough for precipitation to stay all wet snow and or sleet resulting in some accumulations across this location. Most of the rest of the region should have rain but it could start as sleet or wet snow (with no accumulation). During Monday night-early Tuesday morning the rain MAY change to freezing rain in some valley locations, especially NORTH of Albany as temperatures fall to near 32°.  

3) There will also be strong East winds of 40-50 mph across the higher terrain and in the Mohawk Valley during late Monday afternoon and night. These winds could bring down some tree limbs and trees and result in some power outages. These same east winds could also result in a "shadow effect" across the parts of the Hudson Valley causing less or lighter amounts of precipitation.

Any changes to the storm's track (east or west of current thinking) will mean changes to both the forecast precipitation types and amounts. Neal Estano will have the latest updates tomorrow morning on Newschannel 13 Early Today @ 5 AM.

Once the storm system departs by late Tuesday we will remain mild until Thursday when a cold front will sweep east followed by seasonably cold air moving our way to close out the week.

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Snowfall Forecast

Catskill

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