Dr. Ron Seyb, a government professor at Skidmore College, suggested that U.S. Rep. Elise Stefanik’s interest in the governor’s office may be a strategic move to regain authority after her fall from Republican House leadership, providing her with a pathway to potentially run for president later.

With $10 million in campaign cash, Stefanik faces a challenging race against Democratic incumbent Kathy Hochul, who has a significant fundraising edge of $15.5 million.

Although significant funds are essential in a state with heavy media influence, the political landscape remains daunting, Seyb said.

New York’s “blue state” status complicates her path to victory, compounded by the recent performance of 2022 Republican gubernatorial candidate Lee Zeldin, who made notable gains in Long Island but still lost to Hochul.

Stefanik’s success will depend on her ability to increase her recognition and support in New York City and suburban areas, which have been critical for winning statewide elections, Seyb said.

She may also face competition in her own party, as Republican Congressman Mike Lawler is also considering a gubernatorial bid.

Finally, the broader political climate in 2026 poses risks for Republicans, particularly in a state like New York, according to Dr. Seyb.

Dr. Seyb noted that the timing of Stefanik’s announcement is also critical, considering potential shifts in voter sentiment and economic challenges ahead.

Hear his thoughts on all of this by watching the video.