The Siena College Research Institute has been accurate for the last two presidential election cycles. Travis Brodbeck, Associate Director of Data Management, said many are always surprised that about half of the country disagrees with the other.

“When you ask someone, ‘Is Vice President Harris a strong leader? Or is President Trump a strong leader?’ How they interpret that question can vary based on who you are asking,” Brodbeck said.

The institute can make about 60,000 phone calls per night to nationwide voters. But with the economy and immigration being the top issues for Trump voters and Harris voters supporting abortion and protecting democracy as their top issues, officials like Don Levy, the institute’s director, say the election can swing either way.

“We measure public sentiment at a moment, with some degree of potential error. We may be off by two or three points in either direction,” he said.

Travis Brodbeck said from a research perspective, it’s been very interesting that most polls have also shown it to be a tight presidential race — despite the poll methods.

“Whether you are a telephone shop like us, where we do all of our interviews with live interviewers, or if you look at these mixed method shops- whether they use text to the web, they call people with IVR (Interactive Voice Response), if they do online probability or non-probability. Regardless of what you see across the industry in their methods, you see very tight races,” Brodbeck said.

Officials say the only thing voters can do is to either take advantage of early voting or show up on Election Day to cast their ballots and wait to see the official results.

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